Predictive Outcome Modeling

AI-powered recovery trajectory predictions

Model Accuracy: 87% (validated on 2,400+ patients)

Patient Profile - Jemma Wilson

Age
75
Stroke Severity
Moderate
Time Since Onset
2 months
Baseline SPI
0.42

Recovery Trajectory Prediction

24-week voice quality improvement forecast with 95% confidence intervals

024681012162024Weeks04590135180Voice Quality Score
  • Upper Bound (95% CI)
  • Lower Bound (95% CI)
Expected Improvement
82%
From baseline 45% to 82% in 24 weeks
Confidence Level
87%
Model accuracy on similar patients
Time to Goal
18wks
To reach 75% functional threshold

Personalized Milestone Timeline

Predicted recovery milestones based on current trajectory and similar patient outcomes

First Conversational Words
Week 4
85% confidence
Complete Simple Sentences
Week 8
78% confidence
Phone Conversations
Week 12
72% confidence
Social Interactions
Week 16
68% confidence
Functional Independence
Week 24
65% confidence

About This Prediction Model

Our AI model is trained on 2,400+ stroke recovery cases with validated outcomes. It analyzes demographic factors (age, gender, stroke severity, time since onset), baseline voice metrics (SPI, STD, quality scores), therapy parameters (intensity, adherence), and early session performance to predict individual recovery trajectories.

Model Accuracy
87% on validation set (n=480)
Mean Absolute Error
±6.2 percentage points
Last Updated
January 2026